Emerging tools for emissions drawdown on land and sea<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n By Brad Warren, NFCC\/Global Ocean Health, Revised December 1st, 2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n For decades, failure to reduce carbon\npollution has been a central conundrum for humankind, producing obvious consequences\nacross both marine and terrestrial systems. Unchecked carbon emissions are\ndegrading marine foodwebs, disrupting fisheries production, threatening world\nseafood supplies, and propelling many other troubling changes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Despite earnest and intelligent\nefforts, greenhouse gas emissions have increased by 55% since 1990 (Olivier\n& Peters 2018). The dominant component of this swelling emission stream is\ncarbon dioxide (73% of the total), almost entirely from burning fossil fuels.\nIn many developed nations, carbon emissions have continued to increase in the\ntransportation sector even as other sectors of the economy have managed to\nflatten or reduce emissions. Over the last five years, monthly mean atmospheric\nconcentration of CO2<\/sub> (recorded at Mauna Loa Observatory) has climbed\nfrom about 398 ppm to 410 ppm (NOAA 2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n In response to this conundrum, some\nleaders in business, government and the scientific community developed new ways\nto reduce pollution that may be achievable without a major fight with fossil\nfuel interests ,which have successfully blocked most other pathways. A major\nclass of intervention that is generating increased attention lately (and\nattracting some investment from oil companies) is carbon removal. The enabling\ntools are sometimes described as Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs).\n<\/strong>Drawing down CO2<\/sub> to help mitigate changes in climate and\nsometimes ocean chemistry, these approaches harness natural systems (both\nterrestrial and marine) and abiotic technologies (carbon capture and\nsequestration systems). <\/p>\n\n\n\n These technologies have important\nimplications for the future of marine resources and ocean use. Any plausible\npathway to large-scale emissions removal requires a place to put the carbon,\npotentially on a scale of tens of billions of tons annually. The signs point to\nthe ocean. The ocean and coastal zones are primary venues for many\nsequestration projects, in part due to the geochemistry of saline aquifers\nwhich facilitates reactions that bind carbon into carbonate minerals. As carbon\ndioxide removal grows into a major industry, we anticipate a need to learn\nquickly how to govern it, how to structure enterprises for optimal performance\nand public accountability, and how to refine the technologies to ensure that\nrisks are well contained. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Negative Emissions Technologies<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Options to accelerate capture and\nsequestration of CO2<\/sub> in natural and artificial systems have become\nan important theme in global climate policy discussions. They provide a supplemental\nstrategy at a time when leaders and researchers anticipate that climate targets\ncannot be achieved through emission reduction alone. Indeed, negative emissions\ntechnologies (NETS) play a part in most emissions scenarios that could limit\nglobal warming to 2\u00b0C in the latest IPCC Assessment Report (2014) according to\na review of NETS options and their limitations published in Nature<\/em> (Smith et al 2016).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Authors of a 2018 US National\nAcademies of Science, Engineering and Medicine study on NETs noted: \u201cit would\nbe extremely difficult to reduce net anthropogenic emissions enough to achieve\ndeclining atmospheric CO2<\/sub> without the use of NETs because of fossil\nand land-use sources that would be extremely disruptive or expensive to\nmitigate, such as some agricultural methane or CO2<\/sub> from air travel.\u201d\n(National Academies 2018). The National Academies study authors observe that\nNETs offer the most powerful known mechanisms to reduce atmospheric\nconcentration of GHGs: \u201cUnlike other forms of mitigation, NETs provide the only\nmeans to achieve deep (i.e. > 100 ppm) emissions reductions, beyond the\ncapacity of the natural sinks.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Several approaches to CO2 <\/sub>drawdown may deliver additional benefits that serve or complement conservation priorities:\u00a0 earning revenue, creating jobs, conserving and restoring habitats, and locally remediating ocean acidification and other pollution that degrades habitat and water quality. <\/p>\n\n\n\n